Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-12-12 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

PHI: 60.9%

DET: 39.1%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.19

DET: 2.69

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 37%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • PHI at home vs DET: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	DET 6 - 3 PHI	DET	PHI
2026-04-02	PHI 2 - 4 DET	DET	PHI
2026-03-28	DET 3 - 5 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-01-21	PHI 2 - 1 DET	PHI	PHI
2024-12-18	DET 6 - 4 PHI	DET	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	15	0	0.50
1	DET	9	0	0.66
2	PHI	22	0	1.49
2	DET	9	0	0.77
3	PHI	8	3	1.78
3	DET	16	0	0.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.2 - 2.7