Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-12-12 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 5 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

NYI: 60.1%

CHI: 39.9%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.06

CHI: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs CHI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	NYI 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	NYI
2025-12-30	CHI 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NYI
2024-12-15	CHI 5 - 3 NYI	CHI	NYI
2024-12-12	NYI 5 - 4 CHI	NYI	NYI
2024-04-02	NYI 2 - 1 CHI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	10	0	0.67
1	CHI	16	1	0.94
2	NYI	13	0	0.32
2	CHI	9	0	0.42
3	NYI	12	1	0.80
3	CHI	17	0	0.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 5 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.1 - 2.8