Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2024-12-12 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 1 - 4 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 64.0%
NSH: 36.0%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.47
NSH: 2.69
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | DAL | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.810 | — |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • DAL at home vs NSH: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | NSH 4 - 5 DAL | DAL | NSH |
| 2025-10-26 | NSH 2 - 3 DAL | DAL | NSH |
| 2025-04-16 | NSH 5 - 1 DAL | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-04-03 | DAL 5 - 1 NSH | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-12-12 | DAL 1 - 4 NSH | NSH | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 14:39 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 13:33 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 11:40 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 16:47 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 10:34 | NSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 64.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 1 - 4 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.5 - 2.7