Nashville Predators at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-12-12 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 1 - 4 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)

Win Probability

DAL: 64.5%

NSH: 35.5%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.49

NSH: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • DAL at home vs NSH: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	DAL 3 - 2 NSH	DAL	DAL
2025-11-08	NSH 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-26	NSH 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-04-16	NSH 5 - 1 DAL	NSH	NSH
2025-04-03	DAL 5 - 1 NSH	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	7	1	0.54
1	NSH	12	1	0.94
2	DAL	19	0	0.75
2	NSH	18	1	1.66
3	DAL	20	2	1.39
3	NSH	8	2	1.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 1 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9