Florida Panthers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-12-12 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 0 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 42.5%

FLA: 57.5%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.24

FLA: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	27	27	0	100.0%	2.48	1	2.48
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	19	15	4	78.9%	1.46	0	-2.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • VAN at home vs FLA: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	VAN 5 - 2 FLA	VAN	FLA
2025-11-17	FLA 8 - 5 VAN	FLA	FLA
2024-12-12	VAN 4 - 0 FLA	VAN	FLA
2024-10-17	FLA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	FLA
2023-12-14	VAN 4 - 0 FLA	VAN	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	13	0	0.46
1	FLA	14	0	0.65
2	VAN	7	0	0.61
2	FLA	18	0	1.05
3	VAN	4	0	0.39
3	FLA	10	1	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 0 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2