Boston Bruins at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2024-12-12 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 5 - 1 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 48.3%

BOS: 51.7%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.08

BOS: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 42%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

BOS

Joonas Korpisalo - 6-8-0 | 0.882 SV% | 3.60 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	34	33	1	97.1%	3.48	2	2.48
BOS	Joonas Korpisalo	21	16	5	76.2%	4.12	3	-0.88

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • SEA at home vs BOS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	BOS 4 - 2 SEA	BOS	BOS
2026-01-06	SEA 7 - 4 BOS	SEA	BOS
2024-12-12	SEA 5 - 1 BOS	SEA	BOS
2024-11-03	BOS 2 - 0 SEA	BOS	BOS
2024-02-26	SEA 4 - 3 BOS	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	12	1	1.34
1	BOS	23	0	1.29
2	SEA	15	1	1.03
2	BOS	22	1	1.11
3	SEA	11	1	1.75
3	BOS	20	1	1.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 5 - 1 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0