Boston Bruins at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2024-12-12 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 5 - 1 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 51.9%
BOS: 48.1%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.54
BOS: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA
BOS
Joonas Korpisalo - 6-8-0 | 0.882 SV% | 3.60 GAA
| Stat | SEA | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.920 | 0.882 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.32 | 3.60 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | Philipp Grubauer | 34 | 33 | 1 | 97.1% | 3.48 | 2 | 2.48 |
| BOS | Joonas Korpisalo | 21 | 16 | 5 | 76.2% | 4.12 | 3 | -0.88 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs BOS: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | BOS 4 - 2 SEA | BOS | BOS |
| 2026-01-06 | SEA 7 - 4 BOS | SEA | BOS |
| 2024-12-12 | SEA 5 - 1 BOS | SEA | SEA |
| 2024-11-03 | BOS 2 - 0 SEA | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-02-26 | SEA 4 - 3 BOS | SEA | BOS |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 12 | 1 | 1.34 |
| 1 | BOS | 23 | 0 | 1.29 |
| 2 | SEA | 15 | 1 | 1.03 |
| 2 | BOS | 22 | 1 | 1.11 |
| 3 | SEA | 11 | 1 | 1.75 |
| 3 | BOS | 20 | 1 | 1.09 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 5 - 1 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.5 - 2.9
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