Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-12-13 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 3 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 58.2%

OTT: 41.8%

Expected Goals

CAR: 2.66

OTT: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 92% • CAR at home vs OTT: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-25	OTT 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-23	OTT 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-20	CAR 3 - 2 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-18	CAR 2 - 0 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-05	OTT 6 - 3 CAR	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	19	1	1.12
1	OTT	8	0	0.53
2	CAR	14	0	0.73
2	OTT	13	0	0.89
3	CAR	21	0	0.86
3	OTT	6	2	1.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.7 - 2.9