Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2024-12-13 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 3 Ottawa Senators
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 59.7%
OTT: 40.3%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.48
OTT: 2.58
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | CAR | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.938 | 0.893 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CAR at home vs OTT: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | OTT 6 - 3 CAR | OTT | CAR |
| 2026-02-03 | CAR 4 - 3 OTT | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-01-24 | OTT 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | OTT |
| 2025-04-17 | OTT 7 - 5 CAR | OTT | CAR |
| 2024-12-13 | CAR 0 - 3 OTT | OTT | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 04:04 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 14:45 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 19:13 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 0 - 3 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.5 - 2.6
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.