Chicago Blackhawks at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-12-14 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

NJD: 70.8%

CHI: 29.2%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.88

CHI: 2.42

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

CHI

D. Commesso

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	17	16	1	94.1%	2.13	1	1.13
CHI	D. Commesso	24	20	4	83.3%	3.17	2	-0.83

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • NJD at home vs CHI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-29	NJD 5 - 3 CHI	NJD	NJD
2025-11-12	CHI 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-03-26	CHI 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-12-14	NJD 4 - 1 CHI	NJD	NJD
2024-01-05	NJD 4 - 2 CHI	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	16	0	0.72
1	CHI	6	0	0.25
2	NJD	15	0	1.06
2	CHI	14	1	1.12
3	NJD	11	2	1.39
3	CHI	12	0	0.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.9 - 2.4