Buffalo Sabres at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-12-14 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 4 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

WSH: 58.3%

BUF: 41.7%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.23

BUF: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • WSH at home vs BUF: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	WSH 6 - 2 BUF	WSH	BUF
2026-03-12	BUF 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	BUF
2025-11-01	BUF 4 - 3 WSH	BUF	BUF
2025-03-30	WSH 5 - 8 BUF	BUF	WSH
2025-01-06	BUF 4 - 3 WSH	BUF	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	17	0	1.26
1	BUF	15	0	0.54
2	WSH	19	0	1.21
2	BUF	14	0	1.29
3	WSH	12	3	2.09
3	BUF	10	0	0.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 4 - 2 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2