Anaheim Ducks at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2024-12-14 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 53.3%
ANA: 46.7%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.44
ANA: 2.80
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA
ANA
John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.62 | 3.54 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | Jet Greaves | 27 | 23 | 4 | 85.2% | 2.87 | 1 | -1.13 |
| ANA | John Gibson | 42 | 39 | 3 | 92.9% | 3.82 | 3 | 0.82 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CBJ at home vs ANA: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | ANA 4 - 3 CBJ | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-12-16 | CBJ 4 - 3 ANA | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2024-12-14 | CBJ 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | CBJ |
| 2024-11-10 | ANA 4 - 2 CBJ | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-02-21 | ANA 4 - 7 CBJ | CBJ | ANA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CBJ | 13 | 1 | 1.01 |
| 1 | ANA | 16 | 1 | 1.36 |
| 2 | CBJ | 13 | 0 | 1.06 |
| 2 | ANA | 16 | 0 | 0.90 |
| 3 | CBJ | 21 | 2 | 1.62 |
| 3 | ANA | 7 | 0 | 0.45 |
| 4 | CBJ | 2 | 0 | 0.12 |
| 4 | ANA | 1 | 0 | 0.16 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8
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