Montreal Canadiens at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-12-14 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

WPG: 60.5%

MTL: 39.5%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.38

MTL: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs MTL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	WPG 1 - 5 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-12-03	MTL 3 - 2 WPG	MTL	MTL
2025-01-28	MTL 1 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-12-14	WPG 4 - 2 MTL	WPG	WPG
2023-12-18	WPG 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	13	2	1.35
1	MTL	13	0	0.59
2	WPG	11	0	0.96
2	MTL	12	0	0.78
3	WPG	14	1	1.01
3	MTL	15	1	1.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2