Florida Panthers at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-12-14 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 0 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 44.4%

FLA: 55.6%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.09

FLA: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CGY at home vs FLA: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	CGY 4 - 1 FLA	CGY	CGY
2025-11-28	FLA 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	FLA
2025-03-01	FLA 3 - 0 CGY	FLA	FLA
2024-12-14	CGY 3 - 0 FLA	CGY	FLA
2024-03-09	FLA 5 - 1 CGY	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	10	0	0.49
1	FLA	13	1	0.67
2	CGY	12	0	0.76
2	FLA	19	0	0.94
3	CGY	15	0	0.65
3	FLA	18	0	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 0 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0