Boston Bruins at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-12-14 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 5 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

VAN: 46.0%

BOS: 54.0%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.25

BOS: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 36%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	28	23	5	82.1%	2.64	2	-2.36
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	20	19	1	95.0%	1.75	0	0.75

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VAN at home vs BOS: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	VAN 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	BOS
2025-12-20	BOS 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	BOS
2024-12-14	VAN 1 - 5 BOS	BOS	BOS
2024-11-26	BOS 0 - 2 VAN	VAN	BOS
2024-02-24	VAN 3 - 2 BOS	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	8	0	0.34
1	BOS	20	2	1.65
2	VAN	15	0	0.73
2	BOS	9	0	0.57
3	VAN	10	0	0.68
3	BOS	7	0	0.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 5 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2