Utah Hockey Club at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-12-14 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

SJS: 42.5%

UTA: 57.5%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.04

UTA: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

SJS

Vitek Vanecek - 17-9-3 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Vitek Vanecek	40	36	4	90.0%	4.06	2	0.06
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	22	19	3	86.4%	1.67	0	-1.33

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs UTA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-01	SJS 6 - 3 UTA	SJS	UTA
2025-11-18	SJS 3 - 2 UTA	SJS	SJS
2025-10-17	UTA 6 - 3 SJS	UTA	UTA
2025-01-10	UTA 2 - 1 SJS	UTA	UTA
2024-12-14	SJS 3 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	11	0	0.43
1	UTA	16	0	1.05
2	SJS	15	0	0.82
2	UTA	16	0	1.20
3	SJS	6	0	0.42
3	UTA	23	2	1.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3