Tampa Bay Lightning at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2024-12-14 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 1 - 5 Tampa Bay Lightning
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 56.0%
TBL: 44.0%
Expected Goals
SEA: 2.95
TBL: 3.38
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
| Stat | SEA | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • SEA at home vs TBL: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-23 | TBL 4 - 1 SEA | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-12-14 | SEA 1 - 5 TBL | TBL | SEA |
| 2023-12-09 | SEA 3 - 4 TBL | TBL | SEA |
| 2023-10-30 | TBL 3 - 4 SEA | SEA | TBL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:24 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 08:16 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 13:21 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 04:03 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:08 | TBL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:38 | TBL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 1 - 5 Tampa Bay Lightning
Expected: 3.0 - 3.4