New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2024-12-15 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 3 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 46.7%

NYI: 53.3%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.02

NYI: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs NYI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	NYI 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	NYI
2025-12-30	CHI 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NYI
2024-12-15	CHI 5 - 3 NYI	CHI	NYI
2024-12-12	NYI 5 - 4 CHI	NYI	NYI
2024-04-02	NYI 2 - 1 CHI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	13	0	0.86
1	NYI	14	0	0.96
2	CHI	11	2	1.17
2	NYI	20	0	0.75
3	CHI	7	2	0.95
3	NYI	17	1	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 5 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0