Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-12-15 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 57.6%

VGK: 42.4%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.32

VGK: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MIN at home vs VGK: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	VGK 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-12-29	VGK 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-11-16	MIN 3 - 2 VGK	MIN	MIN
2025-05-01	MIN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-29	VGK 3 - 2 MIN	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	1	1.13
1	VGK	20	0	0.85
2	MIN	9	0	0.61
2	VGK	7	0	0.36
3	MIN	11	0	0.47
3	VGK	11	0	0.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1