Washington Capitals at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2024-12-16 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 3 - 1 Washington Capitals
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 60.4%
WSH: 39.6%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.30
WSH: 2.88
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | DAL | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.926 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs WSH: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | WSH 1 - 4 DAL | DAL | WSH |
| 2025-10-28 | DAL 1 - 0 WSH | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-12-16 | DAL 3 - 1 WSH | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-10-17 | WSH 3 - 2 DAL | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-01-27 | DAL 5 - 4 WSH | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:39 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 13:28 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 17:35 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 14:58 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 3 - 1 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9