Colorado Avalanche at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-12-16 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (61% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 38.6%

COL: 61.4%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.14

COL: 5.10

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • VAN at home vs COL: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-01	COL 6 - 8 VAN	VAN	COL
2025-12-02	COL 3 - 1 VAN	COL	COL
2025-11-09	VAN 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-10	COL 1 - 4 VAN	VAN	COL
2025-02-04	VAN 3 - 0 COL	VAN	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	17	1	1.47
1	COL	6	0	0.21
2	VAN	15	0	1.09
2	COL	17	2	1.21
3	VAN	8	2	0.91
3	COL	16	3	1.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 7.2

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.1 - 5.1