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2025-26 Season Live

Buffalo Sabres at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-12-17 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 6 - 1 Buffalo Sabres

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
MTL: 50.8%
BUF: 49.2%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.31
BUF: 2.94
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
StatMTLBUF
Season SV%0.8890.906
Last 5 SV%0.8910.847
SV% vs Opponent0.9430.902
GAA3.012.82
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MTL at home vs BUF: 3-3
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-01-31BUF 2 - 4 MTLMTLBUF
2026-01-22MTL 2 - 4 BUFBUFMTL
2026-01-15BUF 5 - 3 MTLBUFMTL
2025-10-20MTL 4 - 2 BUFMTLMTL
2025-03-03MTL 4 - 3 BUFMTLMTL

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
100:19MTLGoal
106:26MTLGoal
203:43MTLGoal
205:54MTLGoal
209:45MTLGoal
210:55MTLGoal
219:15MTLGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 50.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 6 - 1 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9