Los Angeles Kings at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-12-17 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

Win Probability

PIT: 40.1%

LAK: 59.9%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.04

LAK: 3.48

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PIT at home vs LAK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-09	PIT 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-16	LAK 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	LAK
2025-01-20	LAK 1 - 5 PIT	PIT	LAK
2024-12-17	PIT 3 - 2 LAK	PIT	LAK
2024-02-18	PIT 1 - 2 LAK	LAK	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	13	0	0.81
1	LAK	20	1	1.22
2	PIT	12	0	0.78
2	LAK	14	0	0.68
3	PIT	13	1	1.05
3	LAK	14	2	0.99
4	PIT	1	0	0.07
4	LAK	1	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.0 - 3.5