New Jersey Devils at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-12-17 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 1 - 4 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 50.7%
NJD: 49.3%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.62
NJD: 3.60
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | STL | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.897 | 0.913 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • STL at home vs NJD: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | NJD 3 - 2 STL | NJD | NJD |
| 2024-12-17 | STL 1 - 4 NJD | NJD | STL |
| 2024-11-27 | NJD 0 - 3 STL | STL | NJD |
| 2024-03-07 | NJD 4 - 1 STL | NJD | NJD |
| 2023-11-03 | STL 4 - 1 NJD | STL | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:13 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 13:09 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 03:38 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 10:28 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 16:44 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 1 - 4 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 2.6 - 3.6