New York Rangers at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2024-12-17 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 2 - 0 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 54.3%
NYR: 45.7%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.25
NYR: 3.19
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA
| Stat | NSH | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.93 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 25 | 25 | 0 | 100.0% | 2.56 | 1 | 2.56 |
| NYR | Igor Shesterkin | 32 | 30 | 2 | 93.8% | 3.29 | 2 | 1.29 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NSH at home vs NYR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-21 | NSH 2 - 1 NYR | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-11-10 | NYR 6 - 3 NSH | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-03-02 | NYR 4 - 0 NSH | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-12-17 | NSH 2 - 0 NYR | NSH | NSH |
| 2023-12-02 | NSH 3 - 4 NYR | NYR | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 12 | 0 | 0.92 |
| 1 | NYR | 12 | 0 | 0.94 |
| 2 | NSH | 17 | 1 | 0.92 |
| 2 | NYR | 17 | 1 | 1.04 |
| 3 | NSH | 14 | 1 | 1.46 |
| 3 | NYR | 12 | 0 | 0.58 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 2.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 2 - 0 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2
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