Boston Bruins at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-12-17 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 4 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 50.7%

BOS: 49.3%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.20

BOS: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CGY at home vs BOS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	BOS 4 - 1 CGY	BOS	BOS
2025-12-29	CGY 2 - 1 BOS	CGY	CGY
2024-12-17	CGY 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	CGY
2024-11-07	BOS 4 - 3 CGY	BOS	BOS
2024-02-22	CGY 3 - 2 BOS	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	16	0	0.67
1	BOS	5	0	0.20
2	CGY	13	0	0.77
2	BOS	19	0	1.39
3	CGY	14	0	0.37
3	BOS	21	2	1.54
4	CGY	1	0	0.02
4	BOS	5	0	0.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 4 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0