Boston Bruins at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2024-12-17 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 3 - 4 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 50.8%
BOS: 49.2%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.37
BOS: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 73%
Over 6.5: 60%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | CGY | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.911 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CGY at home vs BOS: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | BOS 4 - 1 CGY | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-12-29 | CGY 2 - 1 BOS | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-12-17 | CGY 3 - 4 BOS | BOS | CGY |
| 2024-11-07 | BOS 4 - 3 CGY | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-02-22 | CGY 3 - 2 BOS | CGY | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 00:54 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 01:21 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 06:31 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 17:19 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 04:14 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 06:51 | CGY | Goal |
| 4 | 04:22 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 3 - 4 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0
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