Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-12-18 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 6 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 49.0%
PHI: 51.0%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.25
PHI: 3.16
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 56%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | DET | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.886 | 0.837 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs PHI: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | DET 6 - 3 PHI | DET | DET |
| 2026-04-02 | PHI 2 - 4 DET | DET | PHI |
| 2026-03-28 | DET 3 - 5 PHI | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-01-21 | PHI 2 - 1 DET | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-18 | DET 6 - 4 PHI | DET | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:06 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 18:19 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 10:15 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 10:40 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 16:05 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 17:27 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 03:50 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 05:39 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 07:22 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 18:48 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 6 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2
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