Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-12-18 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 6 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 58.9%
PHI: 41.1%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.11
PHI: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | DET | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • DET at home vs PHI: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-21 | PHI 2 - 1 DET | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-18 | DET 6 - 4 PHI | DET | DET |
| 2024-12-12 | PHI 4 - 1 DET | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-01-25 | DET 3 - 0 PHI | DET | DET |
| 2023-12-22 | DET 7 - 6 PHI | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:06 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 18:19 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 10:15 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 10:40 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 16:05 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 17:27 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 03:50 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 05:39 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 07:22 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 18:48 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 6 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9