Florida Panthers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-12-18 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 1 - 6 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 52.0%

FLA: 48.0%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.20

FLA: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	33	27	6	81.8%	3.25	3	-2.75
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	27	26	1	96.3%	2.06	1	1.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MIN at home vs FLA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	FLA 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-01-24	MIN 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	MIN
2024-12-18	MIN 1 - 6 FLA	FLA	MIN
2024-10-22	FLA 1 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2024-01-19	FLA 4 - 6 MIN	MIN	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	20	1	1.42
1	FLA	13	0	0.68
2	MIN	12	0	0.36
2	FLA	20	2	1.39
3	MIN	7	0	0.28
3	FLA	15	1	1.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 6 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1