Florida Panthers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-12-18 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 1 - 6 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

MIN: 48.7%

FLA: 51.3%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.34

FLA: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 45%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	33	27	6	81.8%	3.25	3	-2.75
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	27	26	1	96.3%	2.06	1	1.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • MIN at home vs FLA: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-10	FLA 1 - 4 MIN	MIN	FLA
2026-03-26	FLA 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	FLA
2026-01-24	MIN 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-12-18	MIN 1 - 6 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-10-22	FLA 1 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	20	1	1.42
1	FLA	13	0	0.68
2	MIN	12	0	0.36
2	FLA	20	2	1.39
3	MIN	7	0	0.28
3	FLA	15	1	1.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 6 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1