Los Angeles Kings at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-12-19 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 7 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

PHI: 38.5%

LAK: 61.5%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.87

LAK: 3.51

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PHI at home vs LAK: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	LAK 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK
2026-01-31	PHI 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	PHI
2024-12-29	LAK 5 - 4 PHI	LAK	LAK
2024-12-19	PHI 3 - 7 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-11-11	LAK 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	10	0	0.59
1	LAK	13	0	1.03
2	PHI	18	1	1.26
2	LAK	14	2	1.52
3	PHI	6	0	0.14
3	LAK	11	2	1.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 7 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5