Los Angeles Kings at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-12-19 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 7 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

PHI: 36.2%

LAK: 63.8%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.89

LAK: 3.52

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

PHI

Aleksei Kolosov - 5-9-1 | 0.867 SV% | 3.59 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	Aleksei Kolosov	27	20	7	74.1%	4.18	4	-2.82
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	26	23	3	88.5%	1.99	1	-1.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • PHI at home vs LAK: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	LAK 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK
2026-01-31	PHI 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2024-12-29	LAK 5 - 4 PHI	LAK	LAK
2024-12-19	PHI 3 - 7 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-11-11	LAK 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	10	0	0.59
1	LAK	13	0	1.03
2	PHI	18	1	1.26
2	LAK	14	2	1.52
3	PHI	6	0	0.14
3	LAK	11	2	1.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 7 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5