Pittsburgh Penguins at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2024-12-19 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 4 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 52.6%
PIT: 47.4%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.07
PIT: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 28-21-8 | 0.894 SV% | 3.13 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | NSH | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.884 | 0.886 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | — |
| GAA | 2.93 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NSH at home vs PIT: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 | PIT 4 - 0 NSH | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-11-14 | NSH 2 - 1 PIT | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-02-01 | PIT 3 - 0 NSH | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-12-19 | NSH 4 - 5 PIT | PIT | NSH |
| 2024-04-15 | PIT 4 - 2 NSH | PIT | NSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:51 | NSH | Goal |
| 1 | 16:21 | NSH | Goal |
| 1 | 17:57 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 03:38 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 07:54 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 09:08 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 07:44 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 11:36 | NSH | Goal |
| 4 | 01:07 | PIT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 4 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0
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