Seattle Kraken at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2024-12-19 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 1 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 48.9%

SEA: 51.1%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.29

SEA: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	27	26	1	96.3%	2.20	0	1.20
SEA	Joey Daccord	24	21	3	87.5%	3.50	3	0.50

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CHI at home vs SEA: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	SEA 2 - 4 CHI	CHI	SEA
2025-11-20	CHI 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-03	SEA 3 - 1 CHI	SEA	CHI
2025-03-18	CHI 2 - 6 SEA	SEA	SEA
2024-12-19	CHI 3 - 1 SEA	CHI	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	19	0	1.15
1	SEA	9	0	0.47
2	CHI	11	0	0.71
2	SEA	21	0	0.72
3	CHI	11	3	1.64
3	SEA	18	0	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1