Boston Bruins at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-12-19 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 63.3%
BOS: 36.7%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.42
BOS: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | EDM | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.923 | 0.918 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs BOS: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | EDM 2 - 6 BOS | BOS | EDM |
| 2025-12-18 | BOS 1 - 3 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-01-07 | BOS 0 - 4 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-12-19 | EDM 3 - 2 BOS | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-03-05 | BOS 1 - 2 EDM | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:07 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 17:35 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 11:17 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 17:39 | EDM | Goal |
| 4 | 01:04 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9
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