BUF vs TOR - 2024-12-20
2024-12-20 • KeyBank Center
BUF 3 - 6 TOR
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 68.8%
TOR: 31.2%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.55
TOR: 3.24
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 11-4-2 | 0.918 SV% | 2.54 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:29 | TOR | Goal |
| 1 | 06:05 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 01:53 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 02:22 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 04:27 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 10:47 | TOR | Goal |
| 2 | 15:56 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 11:56 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:40 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
BUF 3 - 6 TOR
Expected: 3.5 - 3.2