Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-12-20 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 3 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

WSH: 51.2%

CAR: 48.8%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.22

CAR: 3.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • WSH at home vs CAR: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	WSH 4 - 3 CAR	WSH	CAR
2025-12-11	WSH 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-11	CAR 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	CAR
2025-05-15	WSH 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-05-12	CAR 5 - 2 WSH	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	13	1	0.80
1	CAR	10	0	0.37
2	WSH	9	0	0.59
2	CAR	21	1	1.51
3	WSH	10	2	1.35
3	CAR	18	0	1.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 3 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.2 - 3.5