New York Rangers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-12-20 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 1 - 3 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

DAL: 61.6%

NYR: 38.4%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.12

NYR: 2.68

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DAL at home vs NYR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	DAL 2 - 0 NYR	DAL	DAL
2025-12-02	NYR 3 - 2 DAL	NYR	NYR
2025-01-07	NYR 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-12-20	DAL 1 - 3 NYR	NYR	DAL
2024-02-20	NYR 3 - 1 DAL	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	15	3	1.43
1	NYR	16	0	0.86
2	DAL	24	0	1.94
2	NYR	15	1	1.61
3	DAL	23	1	1.65
3	NYR	7	1	0.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 1 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.1 - 2.7