New York Rangers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2024-12-20 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 1 - 3 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 60.9%
NYR: 39.1%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.34
NYR: 2.60
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | DAL | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.923 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • DAL at home vs NYR: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 | NYR 3 - 2 DAL | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-01-07 | NYR 4 - 5 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-12-20 | DAL 1 - 3 NYR | NYR | DAL |
| 2024-02-20 | NYR 3 - 1 DAL | NYR | NYR |
| 2023-11-20 | DAL 6 - 3 NYR | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:20 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 10:44 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 01:46 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 17:54 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 1 - 3 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.3 - 2.6