Utah Hockey Club at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-12-20 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

MIN: 48.7%

UTA: 51.3%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.26

UTA: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	18	16	2	88.9%	1.45	1	-0.55
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	29	28	1	96.6%	2.92	1	1.92

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • MIN at home vs UTA: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	MIN 5 - 0 UTA	MIN	MIN
2026-02-27	UTA 5 - 2 MIN	UTA	UTA
2025-10-25	MIN 2 - 6 UTA	UTA	MIN
2025-02-27	UTA 6 - 1 MIN	UTA	UTA
2025-01-23	MIN 0 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	1	1.07
1	UTA	13	1	0.86
2	MIN	14	0	0.86
2	UTA	7	0	0.28
3	MIN	15	0	0.99
3	UTA	9	0	0.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0