Utah Hockey Club at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2024-12-20 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 53.5%
UTA: 46.5%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.30
UTA: 3.18
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 73%
Over 6.5: 58%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | MIN | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.878 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.923 | 0.898 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 86% • MIN at home vs UTA: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | MIN 5 - 0 UTA | MIN | MIN |
| 2026-02-27 | UTA 5 - 2 MIN | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-10-25 | MIN 2 - 6 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-02-27 | UTA 6 - 1 MIN | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-01-23 | MIN 0 - 4 UTA | UTA | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:20 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 11:20 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 10:01 | UTA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 1 - 2 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.3 - 3.2
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