Los Angeles Kings at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2024-12-21 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 48.9%

LAK: 51.1%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.94

LAK: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Justus Annunen	24	22	2	91.7%	1.97	2	-0.03
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	26	23	3	88.5%	2.44	2	-0.56

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NSH at home vs LAK: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	LAK 3 - 2 NSH	LAK	LAK
2026-04-02	LAK 4 - 5 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-10-25	NSH 5 - 4 LAK	NSH	LAK
2025-03-15	LAK 1 - 0 NSH	LAK	LAK
2024-12-21	NSH 3 - 2 LAK	NSH	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	10	1	0.93
1	LAK	17	0	0.59
2	NSH	13	1	0.76
2	LAK	8	0	0.34
3	NSH	10	0	0.40
3	LAK	13	2	1.03
4	NSH	2	0	0.35
4	LAK	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.9 - 2.7