San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-12-21 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

EDM: 75.5%

SJS: 24.5%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.99

SJS: 2.47

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • EDM at home vs SJS: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	SJS 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	SJS
2026-03-17	EDM 5 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2026-02-28	SJS 5 - 4 EDM	SJS	EDM
2026-01-29	EDM 4 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2025-04-16	SJS 0 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	14	0	0.83
1	SJS	11	0	0.56
2	EDM	30	0	1.91
2	SJS	8	1	0.70
3	EDM	17	2	1.39
3	SJS	12	0	0.61
4	EDM	1	0	0.16
4	SJS	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 75.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.0 - 2.5