San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-12-21 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

EDM: 69.7%

SJS: 30.3%

Expected Goals

EDM: 4.54

SJS: 2.55

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 15-10-1 | 0.896 SV% | 3.36 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Calvin Pickard	22	20	2	90.9%	1.87	1	-0.13
SJS	Yaroslav Askarov	42	39	3	92.9%	4.30	2	1.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • EDM at home vs SJS: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	SJS 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-03-17	EDM 5 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2026-02-28	SJS 5 - 4 EDM	SJS	EDM
2026-01-29	EDM 4 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2025-04-16	SJS 0 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	14	0	0.83
1	SJS	11	0	0.56
2	EDM	30	0	1.91
2	SJS	8	1	0.70
3	EDM	17	2	1.39
3	SJS	12	0	0.61
4	EDM	1	0	0.16
4	SJS	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.5 - 2.6