Ottawa Senators at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2024-12-21 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 4 - 5 Ottawa Senators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 48.4%
OTT: 51.6%
Expected Goals
VAN: 2.09
OTT: 3.98
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | VAN | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.793 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.950 | — |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • VAN at home vs OTT: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | OTT 2 - 1 VAN | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-12-21 | VAN 4 - 5 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-11-23 | OTT 3 - 4 VAN | VAN | OTT |
| 2024-01-02 | VAN 6 - 3 OTT | VAN | VAN |
| 2023-11-09 | OTT 2 - 5 VAN | VAN | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:42 | VAN | Goal |
| 1 | 18:04 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 16:22 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 01:45 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 15:30 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 13:36 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 04:24 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 15:10 | VAN | Goal |
| 4 | 00:15 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 4 - 5 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 2.1 - 4.0