Ottawa Senators at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-12-21 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 5 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

VAN: 33.9%

OTT: 66.1%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.28

OTT: 3.59

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • VAN at home vs OTT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	VAN 0 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-01-13	OTT 2 - 1 VAN	OTT	OTT
2024-12-21	VAN 4 - 5 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-11-23	OTT 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	OTT
2024-01-02	VAN 6 - 3 OTT	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	10	1	0.98
1	OTT	17	3	1.70
2	VAN	14	0	0.91
2	OTT	13	2	1.00
3	VAN	16	0	0.80
3	OTT	9	0	0.30
4	VAN	0	0	0.00
4	OTT	1	0	0.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 5 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.3 - 3.6