Los Angeles Kings at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2024-12-22 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 59.7%
LAK: 40.3%
Expected Goals
WSH: 2.99
LAK: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | WSH | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.960 | 0.918 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs LAK: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 | LAK 1 - 3 WSH | WSH | LAK |
| 2025-11-17 | WSH 2 - 1 LAK | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-03-13 | LAK 3 - 0 WSH | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-12-22 | WSH 3 - 1 LAK | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-01-07 | WSH 4 - 3 LAK | WSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:20 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 04:10 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 14:18 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 19:06 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.0 - 2.8