Los Angeles Kings at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-12-22 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

WSH: 63.0%

LAK: 37.0%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.37

LAK: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WSH at home vs LAK: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-02	LAK 1 - 3 WSH	WSH	LAK
2025-11-17	WSH 2 - 1 LAK	WSH	WSH
2025-03-13	LAK 3 - 0 WSH	LAK	LAK
2024-12-22	WSH 3 - 1 LAK	WSH	WSH
2024-01-07	WSH 4 - 3 LAK	WSH	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	9	0	0.41
1	LAK	10	0	0.19
2	WSH	9	0	0.64
2	LAK	11	0	0.70
3	WSH	10	1	0.97
3	LAK	16	0	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.4 - 2.7