Anaheim Ducks at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2024-12-22 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 61.8%

ANA: 38.2%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.61

ANA: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

UTA

J. Stauber

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	J. Stauber	33	28	5	84.8%	3.37	3	-1.63
ANA	Lukas Dostal	26	22	4	84.6%	3.67	3	-0.33

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs ANA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	UTA 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	UTA
2025-12-03	ANA 0 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-11-17	ANA 3 - 2 UTA	ANA	UTA
2025-03-12	UTA 3 - 2 ANA	UTA	UTA
2024-12-22	UTA 4 - 5 ANA	ANA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	14	1	1.15
1	ANA	14	0	0.62
2	UTA	12	2	1.45
2	ANA	14	0	0.72
3	UTA	8	0	0.65
3	ANA	9	2	0.78
4	UTA	2	0	0.24
4	ANA	2	0	0.15
5	UTA	3	0	0.17
5	ANA	3	1	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.6 - 2.7