Ottawa Senators at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-12-22 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 1 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

EDM: 58.2%

OTT: 41.8%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.19

OTT: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs OTT: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	EDM 5 - 4 OTT	EDM	OTT
2025-10-21	OTT 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-12-22	EDM 3 - 1 OTT	EDM	EDM
2024-11-19	OTT 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	OTT
2024-03-24	OTT 5 - 3 EDM	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	9	1	0.61
1	OTT	11	0	0.39
2	EDM	14	2	1.71
2	OTT	10	1	0.72
3	EDM	10	1	0.76
3	OTT	14	0	0.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 1 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8