Ottawa Senators at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-12-22 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 1 Ottawa Senators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 56.4%
OTT: 43.6%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.14
OTT: 2.53
Total Goals
Median: 4.1
Over 5.5: 35%
Over 6.5: 23%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | EDM | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.871 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • EDM at home vs OTT: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | EDM 5 - 4 OTT | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-10-21 | OTT 2 - 3 EDM | EDM | OTT |
| 2024-12-22 | EDM 3 - 1 OTT | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-11-19 | OTT 2 - 5 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-03-24 | OTT 5 - 3 EDM | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:26 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 00:25 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 14:05 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 01:38 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 1 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.1 - 2.5
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