New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-12-23 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 5 - 0 New York Rangers

Win Probability

NJD: 82.6%

NYR: 17.4%

Expected Goals

NJD: 4.49

NYR: 1.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

NYR

Jonathan Quick - 3-6-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.11 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	12	12	0	100.0%	2.49	3	2.49
NYR	Jonathan Quick	30	25	5	83.3%	4.14	5	-0.86

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • NJD at home vs NYR: 8-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NJD
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	13	0	0.52
1	NYR	16	0	0.85
2	NJD	18	1	1.70
2	NYR	9	2	0.89
3	NJD	16	4	1.92
3	NYR	9	1	0.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 82.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 5 - 0 New York Rangers

Expected: 4.5 - 1.7