Winnipeg Jets at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2024-12-23 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 2 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

TOR: 55.9%

WPG: 44.1%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.07

WPG: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 37%

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • TOR at home vs WPG: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	WPG 3 - 4 TOR	TOR	WPG
2026-01-01	TOR 6 - 5 WPG	TOR	TOR
2024-12-23	TOR 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	TOR
2024-10-28	WPG 4 - 6 TOR	TOR	WPG
2024-01-27	WPG 2 - 4 TOR	TOR	WPG

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	16:04	WPG	Goal
2	01:16	WPG	Goal
2	05:25	WPG	Goal
3	03:27	WPG	Goal
3	11:57	WPG	Goal
3	13:42	WPG	Goal
3	19:39	WPG	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 2 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9