St. Louis Blues at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-12-23 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 0 - 4 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 59.8%
STL: 40.2%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.91
STL: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | DET | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.882 | 0.804 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs STL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | STL 2 - 5 DET | DET | STL |
| 2025-10-25 | DET 6 - 4 STL | DET | DET |
| 2025-04-01 | STL 2 - 1 DET | STL | STL |
| 2024-12-23 | DET 0 - 4 STL | STL | DET |
| 2024-02-24 | DET 6 - 1 STL | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:14 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 00:18 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:45 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 15:54 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 0 - 4 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 2.9 - 2.8