Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2024-12-23 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 7 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 48.9%
PHI: 51.1%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.65
PHI: 3.06
Total Goals
Median: 7.6
Over 5.5: 77%
Over 6.5: 66%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | PIT | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.886 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.901 | 0.840 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs PHI: 5-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | PHI | ||
| 2026-04-29 | PHI 1 - 0 PIT | PHI | PHI |
| 2026-04-27 | PIT 3 - 2 PHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2026-04-25 | PHI 2 - 4 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2026-04-22 | PHI 5 - 2 PIT | PHI | PHI |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 7 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.7 - 3.1
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