NYI vs BUF - 2024-12-23
2024-12-23 • UBS Arena
NYI 1 - 7 BUF
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 51.2%
BUF: 48.8%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.33
BUF: 3.48
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 14-10-2 | 0.915 SV% | 2.47 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:07 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 16:49 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 06:53 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 15:45 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 18:21 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 19:05 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 10:07 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 15:49 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
NYI 1 - 7 BUF
Expected: 3.3 - 3.5