Carolina Hurricanes at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2024-12-23 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 5 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 44.8%

CAR: 55.2%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.06

CAR: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

CAR

D. Tokarski

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	27	25	2	92.6%	1.81	0	-0.19
CAR	D. Tokarski	25	20	5	80.0%	3.44	3	-1.56

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NSH at home vs CAR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-17	NSH 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-06	CAR 6 - 3 NSH	CAR	CAR
2025-03-25	CAR 1 - 3 NSH	NSH	CAR
2024-12-23	NSH 5 - 2 CAR	NSH	CAR
2023-12-27	NSH 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	14	1	0.69
1	CAR	8	0	0.48
2	NSH	13	0	1.01
2	CAR	11	0	0.21
3	NSH	8	2	1.73
3	CAR	19	0	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 5 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1