Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-12-23 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

MIN: 66.4%

CHI: 33.6%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.93

CHI: 2.60

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 39%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	31	28	3	90.3%	2.48	2	-0.52
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	27	23	4	85.2%	3.45	2	-0.55

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • MIN at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	MIN 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	MIN
2026-03-17	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-01-27	MIN 4 - 3 CHI	MIN	MIN
2025-11-26	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-01-26	CHI 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	17	1	1.52
1	CHI	12	0	0.63
2	MIN	13	0	0.90
2	CHI	14	1	0.91
3	MIN	13	1	1.03
3	CHI	12	1	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 2.9 - 2.6