San Jose Sharks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-12-23 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

VAN: 60.1%

SJS: 39.9%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.37

SJS: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • VAN at home vs SJS: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SJS 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	SJS
2026-01-27	VAN 2 - 5 SJS	SJS	SJS
2025-12-27	VAN 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	SJS
2025-11-28	SJS 3 - 2 VAN	SJS	SJS
2025-04-14	VAN 2 - 1 SJS	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	13	1	1.24
1	SJS	16	1	1.14
2	VAN	19	1	1.39
2	SJS	8	0	0.25
3	VAN	6	0	0.14
3	SJS	25	0	1.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2