Dallas Stars at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2024-12-23 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 2 - 3 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 56.5%
DAL: 43.5%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.31
DAL: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | UTA | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.897 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.932 | 0.912 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • UTA at home vs DAL: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | UTA 2 - 3 DAL | DAL | UTA |
| 2026-01-15 | UTA 2 - 1 DAL | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-11-28 | DAL 4 - 3 UTA | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-04-12 | DAL 3 - 5 UTA | UTA | DAL |
| 2025-01-04 | DAL 3 - 2 UTA | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:02 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 12:41 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 12:39 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 17:50 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:39 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 2 - 3 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9