Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-12-23 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

VGK: 72.7%

ANA: 27.3%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.79

ANA: 2.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	Adin Hill	32	31	1	96.9%	2.93	1	1.93
ANA	John Gibson	33	30	3	90.9%	4.95	5	1.95

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • VGK at home vs ANA: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-14	ANA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-12	VGK 3 - 2 ANA	VGK	VGK
2026-05-10	ANA 4 - 3 VGK	ANA	VGK
2026-05-08	ANA 2 - 6 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-06	VGK 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	16	2	1.37
1	ANA	13	0	0.72
2	VGK	23	2	1.85
2	ANA	11	0	0.75
3	VGK	17	1	1.73
3	ANA	23	1	1.47

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.4