Chicago Blackhawks at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2024-12-27 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 6 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 66.3%
CHI: 33.7%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.34
CHI: 2.57
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
| Stat | BUF | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.847 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.808 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • BUF at home vs CHI: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | CHI 1 - 5 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-11-21 | BUF 9 - 3 CHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-12-27 | BUF 6 - 2 CHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-10-19 | CHI 2 - 4 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-01-18 | BUF 3 - 0 CHI | BUF | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:51 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 12:23 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 12:38 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 19:18 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 16:39 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 03:06 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 05:48 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 15:06 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 66.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 6 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.3 - 2.6
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