Chicago Blackhawks at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2024-12-27 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 6 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 65.2%
CHI: 34.8%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.96
CHI: 2.65
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | BUF | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.864 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BUF at home vs CHI: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | BUF 9 - 3 CHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-12-27 | BUF 6 - 2 CHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-10-19 | CHI 2 - 4 BUF | BUF | CHI |
| 2024-01-18 | BUF 3 - 0 CHI | BUF | BUF |
| 2023-11-19 | CHI 2 - 3 BUF | BUF | CHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:51 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 12:23 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 12:38 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 19:18 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 16:39 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 03:06 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 05:48 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 15:06 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 6 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 4.0 - 2.6